During the summer peak season, the country’s largest electricity gap was 25.35 million kilowatts, which was about 20% lower than expected. In the vast majority of areas, there has been no case of power consumption for residents. Shenzhen Universiade guaranteed power supply to achieve "zero accidents, zero errors, zero complaints." However, with the arrival of winter, energy demand will rise again, and the supply and demand situation is still not optimistic.
Ren Haoning, a researcher in the energy industry of China Investment Advisors, analyzed the situation of domestic energy supply and demand this year. He thought that this year was the first year of the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†and a large number of projects were launched, which objectively stimulated the consumption of energy. The overall supply and demand situation of coal-electricity oil and gas was tight. During the summer peak season, the growth rate of domestic electricity consumption reached 11.2%, and the growth rate of electricity consumption in 13 provinces exceeded 13%, and the growth rate in some provinces was even higher.
Despite the rapid growth in energy demand this year and the tight energy supply and demand situation, the government has effectively managed energy supply through effective measures to increase energy supply, increase cross-regional energy delivery capacity and curb unreasonable energy demand, and successfully passed the peak of energy use. With the end of summer energy use, domestic energy supply pressure has been temporarily eased. The National Development and Reform Commission announced on the 8th that it will reduce the prices of refined oil products, which is of positive significance for ensuring domestic energy supply.
However, Zhang Yanlin, director of the China Investment Advisory Research Institute, also pointed out that the domestic energy supply and demand situation should not be too optimistic. With the arrival of peak winter energy use, the supply and demand of coal, electricity, oil, and other energy sources will be strained again. From a macroscopic point of view, various restrictive factors that restrict the development of China's energy industry have still not been fundamentally resolved, and the hidden dangers of energy shortages have existed for a long time. Therefore, the government must take effective measures and take precautions to prepare for the upcoming peak winter energy use.
The “2011-2015 China Energy Industry Investment Analysis and Prospect Forecast Report†published by the China Investment Advisor shows that China’s total primary energy consumption exceeded 3.2 billion tons of standard coal in 2010, and the total energy consumption has grown too fast, resulting in extremely high energy supply and demand. tension. China must reasonably control total energy consumption and promote the establishment of a resource-saving society.
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