At present, China surpassed the United States got into the top spot in the electric vehicle market, the domestic electric vehicle market for two consecutive years ranked first in the world production and sales, the cumulative promotion of over one million, accounting for the global market holdings of more than 50%. According to incomplete statistics, the planning of new energy vehicles by traditional auto companies is only a huge number. The sales targets of new energy vehicles released by nine independent auto companies such as GAC, Dongfeng, SAIC, BAIC, Changan, Geely and Chery are close to 2020. 4 million vehicles, the total investment is about 80 billion yuan, and in the passenger car field, the total investment of new energy vehicles of the three companies Yutong, Zhongtong and Jinlong exceeds 10 billion yuan, and the total capital of the new energy automobile industry is expected to exceed 100 billion yuan. .
After subsidies have retreated, new energy vehicle sales have slowed down this year, but car electrification is the trend of the times. Whether it is a national brand or a joint venture automaker, or even an Internet car manufacturer that uses electric power to open the auto market, it will not miss it. This cake inflated.
Subsidies fall back, market and technology become the biggest challenge
At present, almost all Internet car brands have chosen to use new energy vehicles as the gateway to open the market, which has undoubtedly played a very important role in cultivating the market and popularizing consumers' awareness of electric vehicles. Cui Dongshu, secretary general of the National Federation of the Federation, told the Southern Reporter that in fact, many Internet car brands have made such choices. On the one hand, they are in line with the transformation of the automobile manufacturing industry. On the other hand, the manufacturing threshold of electric vehicle manufacturing is relatively low, and cross-border manufacturing. The car has an advantage.
Some insiders also analyzed that after the policy subsidies have subsided, the market and technology have become the biggest challenges that electric vehicles need to break. Since the new energy vehicle ushered in the development of spurt, not only the old power lithium battery manufacturers CATL, Lishen, Boston and other investment expansion capacity, listed companies invest heavily in the construction of factories, but also no shortage of Volkswagen, Toyota, Beiqi and other automakers.
Cui Dongshu believes that due to the reduction in subsidies, the overall slowdown in sales of new energy vehicles in the first quarter and April of this year means that the demand for batteries has declined. This is also reflected in the report of the Real Li Research Institute. In the first quarter of 2017, the battery demand for EV passenger cars was only 102,100 kWh, which was as much as 85% compared with 676,800 kWh in the same period of 2016. The battery demand for EV special vehicles also dropped significantly. The demand for 60,000 kW h in the first quarter of 2017 was almost halved compared with 113,000 kWh in the same period of 2016. According to the report, these two markets are extremely sensitive to changes in subsidy policies. The reason is that the policy of 30,000 km cumulative mileage requirements shows the power.
Although the demand for pure electric buses in the “large electricity consumers†market has shrunk a lot, the demand for power lithium batteries is still growing at a high speed. The report of the Real Lithium Research Institute also mentioned that the production of “small-capacity†pure electric passenger cars and special-purpose vehicles will continue to maintain rapid growth. The market performance of EV passenger cars based on the personal market was significantly better, and the demand for 966,800 kWh of EV passenger cars in the first quarter of 2017 was 10 compared with 876,700 kWh in the same period of 2016. More than % is the only bright spot in all types of vehicle market.
"The success or failure of power battery determines the success or failure of new energy vehicles"
"The success or failure of the power battery determines the success or failure of the new energy vehicle." Wang Binggang, member of the Academic Committee of the China Electric Vehicle 100-member Association and the national new energy vehicle technology innovation engineering expert group, believes that the power battery industry is developing rapidly in the Chinese market, but the technology Not in the international leading position, the investment is too scattered, there are still a large number of low-level small-scale battery factories. As for the quality control method of battery cell products, there are still backward methods using screening, and the rate of unqualified products selected is as high as 10% or more. There is a huge gap between companies such as Samsung and Panasonic.
The huge market potential of electric vehicles has become a consensus. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has also clearly planned that by 2020, the annual output of new energy vehicles will reach 2 million, the specific energy of power battery systems will reach 260 watt-hours/kg, and the cost will be reduced to 1 yuan/watt hour.
"(China) new energy auto backbone enterprises have further enhanced their global influence and market share, and intelligent networked cars have entered the world's advanced ranks," said Miao Wei, secretary of the Party Committee of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, in order to build up a sleeve to build a safe and controllable car. The parts system has entered the ranks of automobile powers.
"This is a game that can't stop," Cui Dongshu told the Southern Reporter. At present, the battery industry of electric vehicles has entered a stage of rapid and benign development. Although there is a gap in technology with international power battery manufacturers, the market demand is declining. Underneath, it is even more necessary to increase the amount of investment to seize market share, otherwise it will die even worse.
Nandu reporter learned that in the first quarter of the car battery supply, Ningde era with 328,000 kWh of car battery supply surpassed BYD ranked first, an increase of 12.5%. Different from BYD's closed production chain, Ningde Times is a supplier of power batteries for many car companies such as BMW Brilliance, Geely, Beiqi, Guangzhou Automobile, etc. Recently, it will cooperate with SAIC to develop its power battery business and plans to establish two new joint ventures. .
Last week, BYD, who just missed the new energy vehicle sales champion, said that the power battery will supply all the car manufacturers. It can be said that BYD, which started as a battery, has quietly opened the closed loop to fight back.
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Charging pile: isolated state is being broken
As an important link in the new energy industry chain, charging piles and charging stations have become the constraints of the development of the new energy industry, and also an important factor affecting consumers' willingness to purchase. The National Energy Administration clearly stated in the "Notice on Guidance for Energy Work in 2017" that 900,000 charging piles are planned to be built in 2017. This is an increase of more than 300% compared to the number of charging piles at the end of 2016.
On April 18th, the Guangzhou Industrial and Commercial Committee issued the “Notice on Further Strengthening the Construction and Operation Management of Electric Vehicle Charging Infrastructureâ€, which will strengthen the construction and operation management and financial support policies for electric vehicle charging infrastructure, and also encourage self-use charging facilities information. Entered the intelligent management platform for charging facilities in Guangzhou. According to the data of the intelligent management platform for charging facilities in Guangzhou, in May 2016, the number of charging piles in Guangzhou was 582, and by April 2017 it had reached 6,207, an increase of 966.49%. At the same time, Guangzhou City plans to build 34,700 charging piles by 2018.
The number of charging piles has increased sharply. The charging piles are operated by islands in terms of payment channels and information collection. They cannot be interconnected, and market-oriented operations have become an industry consensus. Alipay launched the “Car Charging Station†at the end of last year, hoping to connect large-scale charging pile operators to this platform, to solve the problem that the owner can not complete the charging process with only one A PP, and open up the isolated state of each charging pile.
The mode of connecting charging pile resources into platform management has started in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen. Through the charging pile operation platform, the operating data of each company is managed uniformly, and statistical payment settlement is carried out. The “Yuandu Charge†of Shenzhen Nandian Yunshang Co., Ltd., a holding subsidiary of China Southern Power Grid Integrated Energy Co., Ltd., and the “Yangcheng Charge†jointly undertaken by Guangzhou Industrial and Information Commission and Guangzhou Power Supply Bureau are such platforms.
The relevant person in charge of Shenzhen Nandian Yunshang Co., Ltd. told Nandu reporter that technically, “degree of charge†has been piloted in Guangxi Liuzhou with a free charging project with subversive innovation. By cooperating with a technology innovation company in Shenzhen, “Charging Charge†will compress the charging pile into a charging plug-in board similar to an ordinary household socket. From the three-dimensional charging pile to the palm-sized socket supporting charging equipment, the construction cost is more compact. 90%.
The National Development and Reform Commission, the Energy Bureau and the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology issued the "Implementation Plan for the New National Standard for Electric Vehicle Charging Infrastructure Interface". It is clear that from January 1 this year, the newly installed charging infrastructure and newly produced electric vehicles must meet the new national standard. The implementation of the program also played a strong shot for the interconnection of charging facilities.
Miao Wei, Minister of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, said that the rapid development of new energy vehicles and the construction of automobile charging infrastructure will become the big blue ocean. Car charging is not only a physical charging pile, but also has the genes and functions of smart grid, Internet, Internet of Things, big data, and there will be a boom in the construction of thousands of enterprises in the short term, but it also faces industry reshuffle.
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